Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.003563 0.003744 0.003928 0.004131 0.004349 0.004576 0.004830
2025-04-27 0.003295 0.003568 0.003860 0.004195 0.004572 0.004983 0.005468
2025-05-04 0.003063 0.003383 0.003735 0.004151 0.004633 0.005177 0.005843
2025-05-11 0.002895 0.003248 0.003644 0.004124 0.004694 0.005356 0.006191
2025-05-18 0.002754 0.003131 0.003561 0.004093 0.004739 0.005507 0.006502
2025-05-25 0.002689 0.003094 0.003566 0.004160 0.004897 0.005795 0.006990
2025-06-01 0.002590 0.003012 0.003509 0.004146 0.004951 0.005952 0.007315
2025-06-08 0.002492 0.002925 0.003441 0.004111 0.004974 0.006065 0.007584
2025-06-15 0.002388 0.002824 0.003351 0.004043 0.004947 0.006110 0.007760
2025-06-22 0.002298 0.002737 0.003273 0.003987 0.004930 0.006164 0.007947
2025-06-29 0.002241 0.002690 0.003243 0.003989 0.004989 0.006318 0.008279
2025-07-06 0.002136 0.002577 0.003125 0.003870 0.004880 0.006238 0.008270
2025-07-13 0.002090 0.002539 0.003103 0.003879 0.004945 0.006402 0.008625
2025-07-20 0.002068 0.002531 0.003119 0.003938 0.005081 0.006670 0.009150
2025-07-27 0.002007 0.002471 0.003064 0.003898 0.005075 0.006734 0.009368
2025-08-03 0.001956 0.002421 0.003021 0.003873 0.005088 0.006826 0.009632
2025-08-10 0.001906 0.002372 0.002978 0.003844 0.005095 0.006907 0.009880
2025-08-17 0.001893 0.002371 0.002998 0.003906 0.005234 0.007189 0.010468
2025-08-24 0.001854 0.002334 0.002967 0.003893 0.005262 0.007305 0.010788
2025-08-31 0.001810 0.002288 0.002925 0.003861 0.005260 0.007372 0.011030
2025-09-07 0.001757 0.002230 0.002862 0.003799 0.005209 0.007359 0.011134
2025-09-14 0.001710 0.002179 0.002808 0.003747 0.005171 0.007366 0.011270
2025-09-21 0.001684 0.002155 0.002791 0.003749 0.005217 0.007506 0.011648